Werner Lorbeer
Wednesday September 16th, 2015

OECD Survey Disproves District Administrator

geometrie““96 per cent of the students we asked have a computer at home, 72 per cent use this technology at school. In Germany, pupils from upper-class households use the internet more for information gathering than socially disadvantaged young persons. In those social classes, computers are used for watching videos, playing online games or chatting.“

Well, it is not like this comes as a surprise, is it? But it underlines some pedagogic hypotheses, at the same time destroying others. On the picture, you see children in a bi-lingual situation solving a geometry problem. The result is true gain in competence: in mental concentration, problem solving, emphatic listening and once in a while by testing the characteristics of a geometrical object or of a geometric operation. They did not talk very much while they were working. But: it was all in the category “communication” if you love competence-oriented formulation.

Here are the pedagogic hypotheses:

  • – Buying computers for schools will neither improve learning for the pupils, nor bring better success. That is a pity if you were the district administrator from the more prosperous district. It has been disproved.
  • Working with the computer and the networks will not give students the desired competence in the scientific-technological area. This is sour wine for all those who want to sell life in the social networks as a goal of teaching. And for those who want to raise searching processes into the heaven of pedagogics, rather than understanding what you found.
  • The educational standard of children with equal talent will not change through using a computer or software (tendency towards improvement). Instead, the two things that give this chance are industriousness and frustration tolerance.

It would be wise to use the end of technological illusions for truly experience-based learning. You could actually teach the children and adolescents with the actual objects, for instance beekeeping, cooking, gardening, robotics,… ,

I think this would give many people joy..

wl
(Translated by EG)

Werner Lorbeer
Saturday August 22nd, 2015

Myths About Teaching

MINOLTA DIGITAL CAMERA

School as a variable social system.

Current argument in BW! It is – politically tried and tested – about the school system. And it is always also about the teacher/student ratio and inclusion.

What I find rather shocking is that the parties who are arguing do not seem to know anything about the empirical research literature.

It remains to be said that one-on-one teaching or teaching only a few is an art that, as you can read in the research literature of the 18th and 19th centuries, was a total failure.

It is also known that the well-researched autonomous learner will create a strong differentiation in his structural development status. The PISA studies show that the group size is basically determined by the discipline of the learning group but that it does not limit the success.

Jauch’s shows are not a mirror of the current social concepts in our schools. They are characterized by a huge amount of variable social forms, even if this seems to be hardly understood by the educational editing boards. On the picture, you see a routine situation at the Augsburg Holbein Gymnasium: the final stage of a project phase.

However, this does not mean that matters could continue endlessly in this way. Instead, this class, too, is entitled to be taught physics systematically; because knowledge has a structure that has been fought for over many decades. The more gifted a child is, the more successful he or she will be when it comes to transferring said knowledge structure to other problems.

Incidentally, we also know from empirical research that specific teacher talents will also substantially contribute to the learning success. “Success” always has to be understood multi-dimensionally in pedagogical research – social effects, academic effects, impacts on the development of a child’s personality, etc.

Not every teacher has an equal chance when it comes to personality structure. Neither will his effect on students be the same for all pupils. There is numerous “trait-treatment interaction“ research to prove this. In this light, the argument they are having in Baden-Württemberg is superfluous, because the quarrelling parties have no interest whatsoever in promoting the pedagogical practice, let alone pedagogical research.

Here is one last note on the teacher:
If you feel stressed out by children and if you are close to “burnout”, then you should ask yourself if your personality is suitable for “educating”. Children have the daily right to a “friendly, relaxed teacher” (Hefendehl-Hebecker), and they offer the teacher a new start every day.

So tell me where, in the world of grown-ups, you ever get this kind of opportunity!

wl
(Translated by EG)

Werner Lorbeer
Saturday August 1st, 2015

Energy Transition is Germany’s Hobbyhorse

FAZ Kohle beliebt_2015-08-01_0001Well, I admit the headline is a little polemic. I also admit that it is high time for us to “start”. In my definition, however, it involves more than just enjoying windmills and photovoltaic modules or swarm power stations.

Taking your pencil and doing the calculations with the unobtrusive FAZ article of July, 30th, will show you that the renewable energy production in Germany amounts to less, 00002 % (2 times 10 to the power of -5 per cent) of the world-wide coal-based energy consumption.

Compared to the global energy level, our energy transition is a technological children’s playground, some kind of lucrative hobbyhorse the progress of which is far too slow and that is far too expensive for broader use.

India, China, Africa, America, Australia will not forgo their rights to use coal. It depends fundamentally on implementing processes of civilization and technology in order to separate the standard of living from the carbon dioxide output. What we need globally is an economical, cost-efficient solution. Because the very bad news was written in the same FAZ issue:

FAZ Weltbevölkerung_2015-08-01_0002The world population continues to grow – and faster than we had anticipated.

Personal Opinion:
Once again, it will pay to think about the relation between investments and carbon-dioxide reduction. There is no doubt that there are better processes with respect to the carbon dioxide efficiency quotient than the ways favoured by us through the EEG. Just remember the filters for dust, NOx, SOx and also CO2? Quick, efficient, cheap! Or the possible green-linking of CO2 through suitable agricultural and forestry-related measures – which would at the same time be beneficial for Africa and South America.

Personally, I would rather pay an EEG extra fee that finally ends the abuse of our atmosphere as the rubbish heap of human civilization and that is internationally available as a development aid than continue to feed German wind and solar barons.

wl
(Translated by EG)

Werner Lorbeer
Wednesday May 28th, 2014

The Fox in Charge of the Henhouse … And Then Some …

Aus der Telekom-Werbeseite

From the Telecom advert page

The ECB warns against DAX 10,000 … and caused said warning itself by interest-free money.

This is material for Gutjahr and Rangi Yogeschwar in their correct journalistic reporting. It is high time for an ideological criticism against the ECB money politics (mind you: this is no “capitalism criticism” as we had it in the 19th century).
If too little is invested in the € countries, then the reason for this is not that money costs too much. In fact, it is already very cheap. Even Karl Schiller knew without simulation calculations: “You can carry horses to the trough, but they must do their own drinking”.

The true EU bank scandal lies in the fact that government bonds still do not have to be backed by individual capital. Naturally, another scandal is that shadow banks are not even regularized through individual capital deposits. And that derivatives produce multitudes of borrower’s notes which at any time may switch from the game table to the economy of real products if business suffers interruptions.

Here is what I demand: “Assign chips to the players = strict regulation of the derivative market”. That would mean they would have to stand in the queue at the casino cashier’s desk for their money and at least the federally regulated casino would make a profit. And the tables could be closed down at any time. Ackermann (Deutsche Bank) could not have been more wrong when he said that substance-free capital flows will create wealth.

The breach of the Lisbon Contracts “no bail out” was in violation of the law of nations and must be rectified. At least those who violate the contract should be legally forced to exit the € zone. Such an exit might be voluntary or forced due to violation of contract. What we are currently doing by shaving off retirement money, life insurances and savings through low interests cannot continue.

Or else, you have to face the responsibility: The slogan “If the € fails, Europe will have failed” is such a brilliant formulation that most of the journalist still swear by this formula, regardless of the fact that the propaganda slogan does last two minutes under closer scrutiny.

But this is how it works: the fashionable media ideology (the latest error of the editorial departments: “EU criticism == anti-European”). The back coupling mechanisms are hard to explain and if, like today the ECB, you lament your own back coupling, then you have to masquerade as the hen if you are the fox. Greetings from anonymous.

wl
(Translated by EG)

Werner Lorbeer
Sunday May 12th, 2013

It Depends on the Teacher!

Dr. Werner LorbeerDon’t we all know quite well that:

“The more money you spend on education, the better the education will be”.

“The fewer children are in a classroom, the higher the success rate.”

“The more computers you use at schools, the more modern the education will be.”

And:

“With respect to what money is spent on education, Germany is far behind many others countries.”

These are four theses our educational elite support most strongly, repeating them in every show. The more “Precht-like” it looks, the better a hypothesis is.

Unfortunately, all four of these theses have been empirically proven wrong. Bavaria spends less money on each student than Berlin, still has a higher success rate, performance in mathematics is independent from how many students sit in the class, the effect of the computer on learning is negligible compared to all the other influential variables and – last not least – the FRG is somewhere in the middle when it comes to how much which country spends on education.

Personally, I have my doubts especially about the last statement, because the survey coming to this conclusion was done by the OECD. In order to correctly get an idea, you have to know that private educational agents, such as craftsmen’s or industrial factories will not even be noticed by those ladies and gentlemen in Paris. Actually, their statistics confuse the German “Meister” with the English “Master”, simply assuming it to be the equivalent.

So where will you find any useful information if you wish to familiarize yourself with the reality of learning and teaching in times of electoral campaigns?
Well, here is something I can recommend:

Auf den Lehrer kommt es an” (It Depends on the Teacher) by Rainer Werner, who is teaching at the John-Lennon-Gymnasium Berlin.

It is probably no surprise that the most critical voices will tend to come out of Berlin or Bremen, because that is where the ideologists are most active.

wl
(Translated by EG)

*) “Precht-like” refers to the TV philosopher Richard David Precht. Incidentally, he was once even a guest of Jauch, where he advertised his very high-strung reform ideas for our schools. It turned out in the end that not much of them remained.

Werner Lorbeer
Thursday March 28th, 2013

Federal Bankruptcy: What is Normal?

It is really surprising what surprises some people!

If you trust your money to a bank, you are the debtee of the bank. There is no way the bank would keep “my money” safe. It is only insured up to 100,000 €, the remainder is subject to the usual insolvency procedure in case of a bankruptcy. Of course, the capital that used to belong to the owners is gone and the same is true for those who bought “bonds” from the bank that were insured, such as bank loans or derivates, etc.

Now this might be boding ill, but it is not really a surprise: if a state is bankrupt, then so are its banks. After all, huge parts of the federal debt were bought up by the banks using the money their customers had given them. Or would it be better if banks refused to finance the state? Basically, private debtees can only get rid of their debts inside the legal order. That makes the private debts safer – which is a fact mirrored at the bond market during the last years.

But then, how else could the enormous savings capital of the citizens be invested if not through the state and administrative units? To be sure, the citizens might invest in naturals, but especially in Germany, this is done less often than in the rest of Europe. For example, we have less property owners than Cyprus.  So what really matters – be it savings for old age or for one’s education – is that states are kept in good solvency in order to organize an important characteristic of money: maintaining its value.

If a state spends more money than it gets from its citizens through taxes, fees, customs, etc., then its solvency is reduced. But he has the right to fall back on the fortune its citizens have built up. Because we democrats gave all our rights to the sovereign.

So what options does the state have in order to create a basis for a new currency after said state went bankrupt (= nobody was prepared to give it any more money)?
Here is a list of torture instruments, I am sure it is nowhere near complete:

  • Currency cut at exchange ratio;
  • Obligatory mortgage on property;
  • Obligatory loan for all bank accounts and deposits;
  • Exchange control regulations;
  • Replace money by coupons;
  • Forbid the ownership of gold;
  • Property taxation;
  • Compulsory expropriation;
  • Inheritance taxation;
  • All property goes back to the state;
  • Increase all taxes and other fees;
  • Inflation;
  • Debt cut through refusal of paying back state loans;

What an impressive list!

wl
(Translated by EG)

Werner Lorbeer
Tuesday March 5th, 2013

John von Neumann – Elegant but Overcharged?

BKA Virus took over. Property has been confiscated.

The data are the program? Really ingenious, truly dangerous.
Here is my experience in a nutshell: while AVIRA professional was running, the BKA virus took command. I experienced live how the windows registry was overwritten and then there was the usual command by the virus… 100 € – or else no more access.

How is that possible?

What is the requirement for a chain of symbols, called virus, to gain the status “executable” on my PC? I will go so far as to come up with the following theory: program and data cannot be distinguished, because they have the same status. I go back and arrive at the Turing links which then became the pattern for the von-Neumann principles for computer construction.

I presume that this is where the errors originated. If every string can be advanced to program code by an interpreter, all doors are open for everything. In particular, the owner will be robbed of the right to property by some network criminals who were given the executive right by some crazy interpreter.

If you take a look at the technology of patches and patchworkers over the last few years, then you have to note they put civilization at risk. But they cannot avoid this, because the machines they have to work with do not permit other solutions – due to their flat data logic.

Assuming I had a free wish, I would wish for Post-Neumann machines that can guarantee the user the ownership of his rights on the PC. These machine principles probably already exist. If not: I have some blue—prints.

wl
(Translated by EG)

 

Werner Lorbeer
Thursday January 3rd, 2013

Desert Tec #20: Subsidies – They Will End In 2015!

Source FAZ of 2013/1/2

By the end of 2015, we will have reached the goal we set ourselves for developing solar energy. That will be the end of subsidies. Perhaps it will happen earlier than that, because by now, it is no longer private individuals building their houses who are into solar energy. Instead, it is now the international pension funds. They mutate from state to risk-averse infra-structure financiers.

All over the place, public service funds are founded. They speculate on sure profits, so we could arrive at the desired point even faster than expected.    
But let me return to Deserttec. After all, it gave my blog its name, even though I intentionally turned it into “desert tec” – including the change of meaning: it is intended to make solar energy base-loadable through intermediate storing in hot salt water. This is still a rather sensible, future-oriented approach. When all is said and done, it is probably also quite cheap, compared with all the fake power stations and network maintenance and their cost.

It is quite amusing to see Peter Altmeier, driven as an administrative bureaucrat by the smiling Trittin, as he tries to organize what has been done during 20 years of EEG. It is a little like hare and hedgehog, because a smart ideologist like Trittin can probably be everywhere simultaneously with his speeches.

Since 1992, my own consulting in companies, too, has been under way: make yourself independent from the network through investments, because you will not be able or willing to pay the charges they will ask of you. By now, the providers are quite willing to do the necessary contracting.

Matters will not get quite as bad for many, but for most, because politics came up with an exception to the rule, thereby freeing about 2,000 companies from paying (more and more often, politicians think they can influence the market by regulations, instead of rules).    
Incidentally, I persist in my advice. In fact, I even go further than originally: sports clubs, residential areas, industrial areas,… they all should shun the public network, because those well-meaning people sitting there are the heirs of Fidel: viva la revolucion, let the others pay..

So what is nice about this? After all, this is my first blog of 2013. There are many places where I feel people driven towards wanting more autonomy – and this is automatically linked with the wish towards self-responsibility. In my book that is definitely something positive!    
Happy New Year to all IF blog readers and many thanks to all my friends.

wl

Today, I had another discussion with friends who feel desperate about the stability of our currency. One function of money is to transport values into the future – and by now, the future is “Greek”.

Wise people discovered this a long time ago and therefore came up with their own Solar Riester concept. In this case, the winner is the German Michael directly, instead of around the detour of political distribution. We are talking twenty years of secure retirement money for the capital you invested and no government can abolish its debt with just a stroke of the pen – as the Greeks already show us.

Mind you, I believe you should calculate with no more than ten years of uninhibited money flow and also with some cuts in contracts already valid. The social pressure will increase, which is in accordance with the concept of an Augsburg enterprise: “I cannot make money with my roof and let the people living under it pay the price, can I?”

Of course, you should buy realty without using the Riester legislation, because otherwise they are truly immobile and cannot even be exchanged for the flat you will need when you enter the third phase of your life, because it is more suitable for senior citizens.

But the true winner is the marriage Riester concept. “Investments” into your shared future with children, hiking tours, evenings to play, shared visits to the cinema, taking responsibility for others and also letting others take responsibility for you – ethics, no gold in the safe because you were scared, no cat gold on the raw material market.

Time for your partner, time to ponder on your own development and to think about what others discovered about you.

I wrote a small book on meditation: “How to lengthen time“. I think this is the true meaning of the Riester legislation: to fill the time you have anyway with the sort of careful life that makes sense.

wl
(Translated by EG)

 

Werner Lorbeer
Friday September 21st, 2012

Desertification Caused by the EEG: Desert Tec #18

More than 240 different prices paid for those who feed in solar energy (source: Handelsblatt). Financial promises made to investors in the solar industry over 20 years at a total sum in the multi-billion range. Whoever feels like it can feed in energy at a fixed price which, according to economic theory, must cause a surplus. Simultaneously, those who feed in cheaply are now forced out of competition. Consequently, they, too, have to be subsidized.

Electrical energy gets so expensive that they now have to start thinking about compensatory money. One measure influencing the market is followed by the next. We are now in the desperate situation of a central planning economy without owning the glass ball of omniscience.

At the same time as this planning economy takes place, technological progress is being pigeonholed – the many bankruptcies in the solar industry tell their own story.

Is there a chance for solar energy? I think yes. It is very simple: stop all subsidies and re-establish the market economy.
Will that mean the end of solar technology? No way!  Latest developments show that solar energy can actually be produced based on polymer solar cells. OLED technology in energy production. As I see it, the current cost for the products will be around 15% of what Si-based solar cells cost.

Organic solar cell-based printing methods for producing solar energy will be something you can use in a totally different way when constructing buildings and making them energy-autonomous.

http://www.solarserver.de/solarmagazin/solar-report_0807.html is an interesting source if you wish to read about the development on this extremely fast-growing technological sector. In the future, we will be able to weave solar panels, then print them and install them at proper places. And it might all happen at perhaps 10% of what it costs now. For the economists among us who believe in planning, this is definitely a reason to come up with a new legislation:

Every citizen must take a certain amount of energy from the network in order not to make the EEG a failure?

wl
(Translated by EG)